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Textile Outlook International
Issue 137:
September-October 2008

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Reports in this issue
Editorial: the Global Economic Crisis Looks Set to Engulf the Textile and Clothing Industry in Asia (3 pages)
World Textile and Apparel Trade and Production Trends: China, South-East Asia and South Asia (47 pages)
Survey of the European Fabric Fairs for Autumn/Winter 2009/10 (15 pages)
Global trends in fibre prices, production and consumption, September-October 2008 (25 pages)
World markets for textile machinery: part 2 -- fabric manufacture, September-October 2008 (41 pages)
The EU's Generalised System of Preferences (GSP): Impact on Textile and Clothing Trade (25 pages)

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Global trends in fibre prices, production and consumption, September-October 2008

Buy 'Global trends in fibre prices, production and consumption, September-October 2008' now 25 pages, published in Issue 137, September-October 2008  
Report price: Euro 395.00; US$ 520.00  

World fibre production rose by 6.0% in 2007. The rise stemmed from an 8.5% increase in global man-made fibre output, which was driven mainly by growth in China and India. Synthetics accounted for most of the volume increase in global man-made fibres, led by polyester. In percentage terms, however, production of cellulosic fibres grew faster than that of synthetics.

Output of natural fibres rose by only 2.6% in 2007. As a result, the gains in share of the previous two years were lost, and the share of natural fibres fell back to 40.6%. The 2.6% increase was driven mainly by a 2.8% rise in cotton demand. Wool consumption, by contrast, fell as a result of higher prices.

The cotton price rose to a high of 80 cents/lb in March 2008 before falling back—due to market unrest—to 55 cents/lb by November 2008. For the 2007/08 crop year as a whole (August 1, 2007-July 31, 2008), the average price reached 73 cents/lb, 23.2% higher than in the previous year. However, there is little prospect of a further price increase in 2008/09 as long as concerns over weaker demand persist. The International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC) predicted in early December 2008 that demand would fall by 5.6%. This is somewhat steeper than the 0.5% drop recorded for 2007/08 and signals a major downturn. That said, output will fall too as farmers switch to more profitable alternative crops. As a result, cotton stocks will fall. But the reduction in stocks will not be sufficient to increase prices. Consequently, the average cotton price is expected to fall from 73 cents/lb in 2007/08 to 69 cents/lb in 2008/09.

Wool prices have fallen dramatically from a peak of A$10.29 per kg (US$9.07 per kg) in January 2008—reaching A$7.64 per kg in November 2008. Again, the fall reflects concern over future demand levels. Stocks have fallen too although the stock position is not a cause for concern. While consumption of wool fibre remains strong in China, it is being depressed elsewhere by the restructuring of the textile industries in industrialised countries. Prices are therefore likely to remain stable in 2008/09. Stocks, meanwhile, are expected to fall a little further from levels reached in 2007/08 as demand marginally exceeds supply.

Table of Contents
Global Trends in Fibre Prices, Production and Consumption
  • Summary
  • General Trends
  • Cotton
  • Wool
  • Man-Made Fibres

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Six times a year, Textile Outlook International provides up to 200 pages of expert comment and analysis. A subscription provides an overview of the global fibre, textile and apparel industries. It is essential reading for senior executives in the fibre, textile and apparel industries – and for anyone who is not involved in the industry, but needs to quickly gain an understanding of the key issues.
Reports in Textile Outlook International include:
 country profiles – providing a comprehensive guide to the textile and clothing industries in a range of countries and regions. The reports include an economic and political profile together with a comprehensive overview of the main issues, plus an outlook for the future.
 company profiles – giving you the opportunity to learn from strategies employed by others. Companies profiled recently include retailers, manufacturers, innovators and sourcing companies involved in textiles and apparel as well as smaller companies which illustrate the opportunities for firms which are interested in selected sourcing locations.
 trends in world textile and apparel trade and production – taking into account current issues facing the industry – such as global fibre prices; competition from China and other low cost countries; the elimination of quotas and imposition of selective new ones; relocation of production operations; the impact of economic factors affecting trade; international trade agreements; trade promotion agreements (TPAs); and much more.
 trends in EU and US imports of textiles and clothing – providing comprehensive statistical data and analysis of the top ten supplying countries to the EU and US markets. These reports are updated each year and contain value and volume data as well as average prices and analyses of trends for up to 15 product categories.
 innovations, technological developments, business development opportunities, individual sector analysis and political implications which affect players in the global fibre, textile and apparel industries. Some of the topics which have been covered in recent reports include: new innovations in the textile and clothing industry, such as environmentally friendly textiles, plant based fibres, and developments in textile colorants; innovations in textile machinery; and overviews of the European swimwear, hosiery and lingerie markets.
So whether you are involved in fibres, textiles or clothing – in manufacturing, spinning, weaving, knitting, sewing, import/export, retailing – or if you are in education or consultancy or investment or finance, a subscription to Textile Outlook International will tell you what you need to know about the key trends in the industry.
Textile Outlook International is available on subscription – either in printed format only, or in printed and electronic format. If you choose the printed only option, you will receive 6 printed publications a year, containing a total of 30 reports plus editorials written by Robin Anson, our editorial director and in-house industry expert.
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