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Special Reports
World Markets for Wool: Forecasts to 2000

Published in April 1996

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Table of Contents   

CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction
Development of the world wool economy
Factors affecting wool production
Factors affecting wool consumption
Factors affecting wool trade
Wool’s position in the world economy
Prospects for wool supply to the 2000/01 season
Prospects for wool consumption to the 2000/01 season
Forecasts of wool prices to 2000/01
CHAPTER 2 DEVELOPMENT OF THE WORLD WOOL ECONOMY
Introduction
Australia
New Zealand
South Africa
The changing pattern of wool demand
The role of the International Wool Secretariat
CHAPTER 3 FACTORS AFFECTING WOOL PRODUCTION
Development of wool production
Sheep numbers
Weather, pests, disease and yields
Competing land utilisation
Types of wool
CHAPTER 4 FACTORS AFFECTING WOOL CONSUMPTION
Introduction
The pattern of derived demand for wool
Income and economic growth
Population
Inter-fibre competition
CHAPTER 5 FACTORS AFFECTING WOOL TRADE
Development of the trading environment
Trade in raw wool
Trade in wool textiles and clothing
The MFA and other regulations affecting international trade in textiles and clothing
CHAPTER 6 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
Wool in the world economy
Assumptions for the world economy
Assumptions for the wool economy
CHAPTER 7 AUSTRALIA: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Development of the Australian wool industry
The Australian wool crisis and its causes
Abolition of the reserve price
Restructuring of Australian wool industry organisations
Impact on the Australian wool industry
New assessment and market reporting systems
Outlook
CHAPTER 8 NEW ZEALAND: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Development of the New Zealand wool industry
Recent developments
Exports
Wool prices
Impact of the abolition of New Zealand’s reserve price scheme
Outlook
CHAPTER 9 CIS: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Trends in sheep numbers
Competition with food production
Improving wool quality
The CIS as a major importer
Impact of perestroika
Outlook
CHAPTER 10 CHINA: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Development of sheep varieties
Trends in sheep numbers
Imports
Outlook
CHAPTER 11 SOUTH AMERICA: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Regional overview
Argentina
Uruguay
Other South American countries: Brazil, Chile and Peru
Outlook
CHAPTER 12 AFRICA: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
South Africa
Other African countries
Outlook
CHAPTER 13 INDIA AND PAKISTAN: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
India
Pakistan
CHAPTER 14 TURKEY, UK AND OTHER COUNTRIES: REVIEW OF WOOL SUPPLY AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Turkey
UK
Other countries
CHAPTER 15 WESTERN EUROPE: REVIEW OF WOOL CONSUMPTION AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Regional overview
Italy
Germany
France
Belgium
Netherlands
UK
Other West European countries
CHAPTER 16 CIS, EASTERN EUROPE AND FORMER YUGOSLAVIA: REVIEW OF WOOL CONSUMPTION AND OUTLOOK TO 2000

CIS
Eastern Europe and former Yugoslavia
CHAPTER 17 CHINA: REVIEW OF WOOL CONSUMPTION AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
The road to a socialist market economy
Role of the textile and clothing industry
Recent trends
World’s largest wool consumer
Investment and joint ventures
Outlook
CHAPTER 18 OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES: REVIEW OF CONSUMPTION AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
Japan
Hong Kong, South Korea and Taiwan
India and Pakistan
Iran and Iraq
Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand
CHAPTER 19 THE AMERICAS AND AFRICA: REVIEW OF CONSUMPTION AND OUTLOOK TO 2000
USA
Canada and Mexico
South America
Africa
CHAPTER 20 FORECASTS OF WOOL PRICES TO 2000
Scenario A: The central forecast
Scenario B: Increase in demand for wool by China in the 1997/98 season
Scenario C: Increase in wool production in Australia in the 1998/99 season