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Global trends in fibre prices, production and consumption, September-October 2007
published in Issue 131, September-October 2007
World fibre production rose by 4.3% in 2006, resulting from a 5.0% rise in cotton fibre production. The increase was driven mainly by growth in China. Synthetics accounted for most of the growth in manmade fibres, especially polyester, although cellulosics grew faster at 5.7%.
Output of natural fibres rose by 4.8% in 2006. As a result, the gains of the previous year were maintained and the share of natural fibres rose further to 42.0%. The main cause of the growth in natural fibre production was a 5.0% rise in cotton demand. By contrast, wool consumption fell, as a result of higher prices. The cotton price rose from its low of 48.60 cents/lb in December 2004 to reach 70 cents/lb by October 2007. For the 2006/07 crop year as a whole (August 1, 2006-July 31, 2007), the average price was 6.2% higher than in the previous year, at 61 cents/lb. Furthermore, an increase of 20.0%, to 71 cents/lb, is predicted for 2007/08 as stocks diminish. Demand, however, will rise by only 3.2%, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). This is slower than the 4.6% increase recorded for 2006/07, despite higher usage in China and South Asia. Output will fall, as alternative crops become more profitable, thus discouraging the planting of cotton.
Wool prices have risen, although they were constrained by competition from man-made fibres. Stocks have fallen although the stock position is not a cause for concern. Global demand for wool fibre is being sustained largely by consumption in China. Elsewhere, it is being depressed by the restructuring of the textile industries in industrialised countries. The outlook is for some stability of prices in 2007/08. Stocks are expected to fall a little further from current levels and demand will be marginally in excess of supply in 2007/08.
Six times a year, Textile Outlook International provides up to 200 pages of expert comment and analysis. A subscription provides an overview of the global fibre, textile and apparel industries. It is essential reading for senior executives in the fibre, textile and apparel industries and for anyone who is not involved in the industry, but needs to quickly gain an understanding of the key issues.
Reports in Textile Outlook International include:
country profiles providing a comprehensive guide to the textile and clothing industries in a range of countries and regions. The reports include an economic and political profile together with a comprehensive overview of the main issues, plus an outlook for the future.
company profiles giving you the opportunity to learn from strategies employed by others. Companies profiled recently include retailers, manufacturers, innovators and sourcing companies involved in textiles and apparel as well as smaller companies which illustrate the opportunities for firms which are interested in selected sourcing locations.
trends in world textile and apparel trade and production taking into account current issues facing the industry such as global fibre prices; competition from China and other low cost countries; the elimination of quotas and imposition of selective new ones; relocation of production operations; the impact of economic factors affecting trade; international trade agreements; trade promotion agreements (TPAs); and much more.
trends in EU and US imports of textiles and clothing providing comprehensive statistical data and analysis of the top ten supplying countries to the EU and US markets. These reports are updated each year and contain value and volume data as well as average prices and analyses of trends for up to 15 product categories.
innovations, technological developments, business development opportunities, individual sector analysis and political implications which affect players in the global fibre, textile and apparel industries. Some of the topics which have been covered in recent reports include: new innovations in the textile and clothing industry, such as environmentally friendly textiles, plant based fibres, and developments in textile colorants; innovations in textile machinery; and overviews of the European swimwear, hosiery and lingerie markets.
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