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Global trends in fibre production, consumption and prices, January-February 2006
published in Issue 121, January-February 2006
World man-made fibre output continued to rise in 2005 but at a much slower pace. Output was up by only 1.5% to 34.4 mn tons following a 6.5% hike in 2004. Moreover, the 2005 rise was sustained entirely by strong growth in China. Synthetics accounted for most of the increase—and all of the increase in synthetics was due to growth in polyester. But cellulosics were also up, by a healthy 5.3%. Prices of most man-made fibres rose in 2005 as record oil prices led to higher raw material costs, although some fibre prices fell back in early 2006.
Output of natural fibres fell by 4.3% after a 25.2% hike in 2004. The fall was driven by a 4.5% decline in cotton output—following a 26.9% rise in 2004—as growers responded to the drop-off in prices. But the decline in the wool clip levelled off. As a result of these trends, the share of natural fibres fell from 44.9% to 43.5%. The cotton price has recovered slightly from its low point of 48.6 cents/lb in December 2004, breaking through the 60 cents/lb barrier in early 2006. Demand in the 2005/06 season will be up by 2.3%, mostly due to higher usage in China and South Asia, and output will be down by 4.2%, according to the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC). But mill buyers remain resistant to price increases and, with no major changes in supply or demand, prices will remain subdued. According to the ICAC, the cotton price will average 65 cents/lb in 2005/06—13 cents/lb more than in 2004/05. But it will fall back slightly to 62 cents/lb for the 2006/07 season. Wool prices have fallen almost continuously since 2003 due to competition from man-made fibres and concerns over stocks—including those in the textile pipeline. Although the downward trend has bottomed out, there is no prospect of a strong recovery. Global demand is being sustained largely by consumption in China. Elsewhere, demand is being depressed by restructuring in the textile industries of industrialised countries. The outlook is for only a modest rise in prices. Although stocks are expected to fall slightly, the balance between supply and demand is likely to be maintained in 2006/07.
Six times a year, Textile Outlook International provides up to 200 pages of expert comment and analysis. A subscription provides an overview of the global fibre, textile and apparel industries. It is essential reading for senior executives in the fibre, textile and apparel industries – and for anyone who is not involved in the industry, but needs to quickly gain an understanding of the key issues.
Reports in Textile Outlook International include:
country profiles – providing a comprehensive guide to the textile and clothing industries in a range of countries and regions. The reports include an economic and political profile together with a comprehensive overview of the main issues, plus an outlook for the future.
company profiles – giving you the opportunity to learn from strategies employed by others. Companies profiled recently include retailers, manufacturers, innovators and sourcing companies involved in textiles and apparel as well as smaller companies which illustrate the opportunities for firms which are interested in selected sourcing locations.
trends in world textile and apparel trade and production – taking into account current issues facing the industry – such as global fibre prices; competition from China and other low cost countries; the elimination of quotas and imposition of selective new ones; relocation of production operations; the impact of economic factors affecting trade; international trade agreements; trade promotion agreements (TPAs); and much more.
trends in EU and US imports of textiles and clothing – providing comprehensive statistical data and analysis of the top ten supplying countries to the EU and US markets. These reports are updated each year and contain value and volume data as well as average prices and analyses of trends for up to 15 product categories.
innovations, technological developments, business development opportunities, individual sector analysis and political implications which affect players in the global fibre, textile and apparel industries. Some of the topics which have been covered in recent reports include: new innovations in the textile and clothing industry, such as environmentally friendly textiles, plant based fibres, and developments in textile colorants; innovations in textile machinery; and overviews of the European swimwear, hosiery and lingerie markets.
So whether you are involved in fibres, textiles or clothing – in manufacturing, spinning, weaving, knitting, sewing, import/export, retailing – or if you are in education or consultancy or investment or finance, a subscription to Textile Outlook International will tell you what you need to know about the key trends in the industry.
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